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Prediction history

Market #2402159

6/13/2026, 06:02:03 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 48¢

Spread is tight and price action is mixed; current market looks efficiently priced with no strong mispricing signal.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid/ask 0.48/0.49 · Recent drift is flat to slightly down · No clear edge from history
Boston Red Sox neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 58%

Price is tightly anchored at 0.48-0.49 with balanced recent drift and no clear informational edge from the orderbook or history.

6/13/2026, 00:01:59 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Medium-term Current price 47¢

Market is efficiently priced with a tiny Boston edge, but spread and balanced orderbook leave no strong entry.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Boston near 0.465 fair value · Small bid-side support · No strong momentum edge
Boston Red Sox bullish ↑ Edge +1% Confidence 58%

Price is slightly below fair with modest bid support and recent drift stabilized near 0.465; small lean to Boston at current levels.

6/12/2026, 06:02:07 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 48¢

Current price looks a bit rich versus the recent drift and book imbalance. I see no strong edge to buy Boston here.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Red Sox price held near 0.49 recently · Yankees have stronger bid depth · Red Sox ask depth exceeds bid depth
Boston Red Sox bearish ↓ Edge -2% Confidence 58%

Market is slightly above the recent mid/last trade trend; orderbook leans Yankees and Red Sox ask depth is heavier, suggesting limited value on Boston at 0.48.

6/12/2026, 00:02:10 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 47¢

Spread is tight and current price near fair value; no strong edge versus the market despite modest Boston support.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid/ask 0.48/0.49 · Boston price up 1c in 1h · Yankees still higher at 0.51 bid
Boston Red Sox bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 58%

Market price implies about 47%; recent tape and orderbook still favor Yankees slightly, with Boston bid support not enough to offset price momentum.

6/11/2026, 12:02:03 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 47¢

Boston looks slightly overpriced versus current book and momentum has been negative over 1d/6h.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid only 0.45 · 1d price down 0.05 · Ask depth dominates Boston
Boston Red Sox bearish ↓ Edge -3% Confidence 66%

Price at 0.47 is above the 0.45 bid and recent drift favors Yankees; orderbook depth also leans against Boston.