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Prediction history

Market #2467207

8/25/2026, 06:01:48 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Medium-term Current price 81¢

Price has rallied sharply and the current Yes price is already high; the book is not offering a clear mispricing large enough to justify a directional entry.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Yes at 0.81 leaves little room for error · Ask depth on Yes outweighs top-bid depth · No side has strong opposite imbalance
Yes bearish ↓ Edge -2% Confidence 62%

Yes trades at 0.81 with strong recent momentum already priced in; order book shows heavy ask depth on Yes and bid support on No, implying limited upside and some mean-reversion risk.