Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
24¢
Current Yes price around 0.24 still embeds some extension risk, but the balance of market structure and recent trend favors No. Best action is to fade Yes unless fresh official statements appear.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Yes ask 0.24 with weak follow-through · 1w price down 0.49 · Orderbook depth favors No
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-3% Confidence
66%
Price has already fallen sharply from prior levels, but the event requires a clear mutual official extension, which remains uncertain. Orderbook leans No and recent momentum is downward, so Yes looks slightly overpriced.