Unified market view

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Data gap

No data

Model edge No model view

Confidence —

Price at model run — Model run: —

Live best ask 14.8¢ Live update: 8/13/2026, 21:46:22

Model —

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 14.8¢ · spread 1.5 pts · liquidity $50,239. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/13/2026, 21:46:22

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

14.8¢

Volume (24h) ?

$401,368

Liquidity ?

$50,239

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

2.4¢

Depth imbalance ?

93.6%

Momentum ?

-45.3%

Volatility ?

11.0%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

13.2¢ 107.12

13.1¢ 2,996.31

13¢ 2,397.78

12.1¢ 1,050

12¢ 18,440

Asks

15.6¢ 23.04

15.7¢ 44.45

16¢ 214.67

16.7¢ 300

16.8¢ 250

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/13/2026, 21:24:12 15.35¢

8/13/2026, 21:26:12 14.5¢

8/13/2026, 21:28:25 14.15¢

8/13/2026, 21:30:11 14.1¢

8/13/2026, 21:32:24 13.9¢

8/13/2026, 21:34:12 14.4¢

8/13/2026, 21:36:09 13.4¢

8/13/2026, 21:38:09 14.65¢

8/13/2026, 21:40:12 14.65¢

8/13/2026, 21:42:09 14.05¢

8/13/2026, 21:44:12 14.55¢

8/13/2026, 21:45:11 14.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · No 8/13/2026, 16:33:07

$6,132 95¢

Buy · No 8/13/2026, 16:27:46

$9,504 90.97¢

Buy · No 8/13/2026, 15:37:12

$5,372 95¢