Back to intelligence

Unified market view

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Data gap

No data
Model edge No model view
Confidence
Price at model run Model run: —
Live best ask 31¢ Live update: 8/13/2026, 20:45:19
Model

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 31¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $191,723. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/13/2026, 20:45:19

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

31¢

Volume (24h) ?

$453,089

Liquidity ?

$191,723

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

-40.0%

Momentum ?

84.8%

Volatility ?

7.3%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

29¢ 1,883.54
28¢ 4,551.37
27¢ 935
26¢ 5.01
25¢ 1,877.92

Asks

31¢ 955.64
32¢ 1,633.12
33¢ 228.13
34¢ 7,625.39
35¢ 11,128

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/13/2026, 20:20:11 30.5¢
8/13/2026, 20:22:12 30.5¢
8/13/2026, 20:24:11 30.5¢
8/13/2026, 20:26:12 30.5¢
8/13/2026, 20:28:25 30.5¢
8/13/2026, 20:30:10 31.5¢
8/13/2026, 20:32:12 31¢
8/13/2026, 20:34:11 31¢
8/13/2026, 20:36:08 31¢
8/13/2026, 20:38:11 31¢
8/13/2026, 20:40:09 31¢
8/13/2026, 20:41:11 30.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades
Sell · No 8/13/2026, 19:34:09
$9,046 61.26¢
Buy · Yes 8/13/2026, 19:16:30
$15,758 38.79¢
Buy · Yes 8/13/2026, 19:15:31
$7,800 39¢
Buy · Yes 8/13/2026, 19:14:54
$6,354 38.99¢
Buy · Yes 8/13/2026, 19:02:03
$10,000 43.47¢
Buy · Yes 8/13/2026, 18:53:00
$9,767 51¢
Buy · Yes 8/13/2026, 18:34:57
$25,434 50.96¢
Buy · Yes 8/13/2026, 18:34:12
$6,008 50.8¢