Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
27¢
Current Yes price looks rich versus the weak Yes-side book and recent price action; the market implies a higher hit chance than I estimate.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Yes bid depth is thin vs ask depth · No side shows strong imbalance · Yes price drifted down over 6h/1d
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-6% Confidence
67%
Yes trades near 0.27 while orderbook heavily favors No; recent drift is down on Yes and the move away from 95-hit risk outweighs the modest upward weekly trend.