Back

Prediction history

Market #3155112

8/3/2026, 18:04:33 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 1¢

Texas is already priced at the floor, leaving almost no actionable edge despite heavy bearish context.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask is only 1.2% · Price near floor at 1.0% · No bid depth/support
Texas Rangers bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 99%

Rangers are priced near 1%, and the history/orderbook show no credible support for a rebound. The market is overwhelmingly favoring Houston, so Texas still looks highly unlikely.

8/3/2026, 12:04:09 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 1¢

No clear edge at the current price; Rangers is effectively priced as negligible while liquidity/spread are tight, so buying has poor risk-reward.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Texas Rangers at ~0.01 · Recent sharp downward repricing · No bullish reversal signal
Texas Rangers neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 98%

Price is already at the floor with an extreme bid/ask around 0.011/0.012; history shows a collapse to near-zero and no evidence of a rebound edge.

8/3/2026, 06:03:52 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 1¢

Texas Rangers is already priced as a near-zero probability outcome, leaving little exploitable edge despite the sharp drop.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers bestAsk at 1.2¢ · recent 24h/1h selloff · wide liquidity with tight spread
Texas Rangers bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 97%

Price is pinned near zero (1.0¢) with heavy recent selling, but there is no reliable evidence of a further mispricing beyond the market already implying a very low win chance.

8/3/2026, 00:04:21 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 1¢

Texas appears fully repriced downward and the current quote offers no value for a buy; avoid or fade the overpriced side only if trading the pair.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid/ask at 0.011/0.012 · Last trade 0.01 · Price fell sharply over 1d and 1w
Texas Rangers bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 98%

Texas is priced near 1%; history shows the market has already collapsed to the floor, leaving no positive edge and only residual longshot risk.