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Prediction history

Market #3155122

8/3/2026, 18:04:20 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 16¢

Current Giants price looks slightly rich versus momentum and orderbook context; no strong liquidity signal to justify buying.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Giants ask at 0.16 · 24h price down 0.27 · History heavily favors Padres
San Francisco Giants bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 58%

Giants are priced at 0.16 but recent price action and history strongly favor Padres; only a small contrarian edge, if any, remains for SF.

8/3/2026, 12:04:03 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 3¢

No clear edge at the current price and liquidity is too thin to justify entry.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask is 0.001 · No usable bid depth · Price already near floor
San Francisco Giants neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 98%

Price is effectively at the floor with no meaningful bid/ask support data, so there is no actionable edge; recent move mainly reflects a one-sided collapse rather than a tradable mispricing.

8/3/2026, 06:03:45 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 3¢

Current price is already extremely depressed and ask-liquidity is thin; no clear edge to enter on either side.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Price near floor · 1h and 24h trend sharply down · No bid support visible
San Francisco Giants bearish ↓ Edge -2% Confidence 74%

Giants are priced near zero with a 0.001 ask and heavy recent selloff; there is no positive mispricing to buy at current levels.

8/3/2026, 00:04:15 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 3¢

Price is already pinned near zero with no liquidity to lean on and no visible catalyst for a reversal.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask at 0.001 · No bid depth · 1d price collapsed -0.4245
San Francisco Giants bearish ↓ Edge 0% Confidence 88%

Giants are priced near zero with no bid support and heavy recent selling; market implies they almost never win, and nothing here suggests a meaningful misprice upward.