8/3/2026, 18:04:13 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Short-term Current price
38¢
Small positive edge at a liquid 0.38 price with minimal spread, but conviction is only moderate because the recent rally may be mostly priced in.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Tight 0.01 spread · Recent price uptrend · High liquidity
Boston Red Sox bullish ↑ Edge
+3% Confidence
58%
Boston is priced at 0.38 with a tight spread and strong recent upward price momentum in the market. I see a modest positive edge versus the current price, but the move may already reflect new information, so the advantage is limited.
8/3/2026, 12:03:55 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Short-term Current price
99.8¢
No clear edge at the current price and the spread is too tight to justify chasing after the move.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Current price near 0.998 · Minimal spread but no upside · Recent rally already priced in
Boston Red Sox neutral → Edge
0% Confidence
52%
Price is pinned near 1.00 after a sharp run-up, leaving little incremental edge; the market already implies an overwhelming Boston win probability.
8/3/2026, 06:03:39 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Short-term Current price
99.8¢
The market is pinned near 1.0 with a 0.1% spread, so there is no meaningful edge to buy or sell at current prices.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Best ask/bid at 0.999/0.998 · Market price already near certainty · No actionable mispricing
Boston Red Sox neutral → Edge
0% Confidence
98%
Price is already at 0.998, leaving virtually no upside versus a likely win probability that is similarly high; edge is negligible despite strong market conviction.
8/3/2026, 00:00:28 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon
Short-term Current price
44¢
Current price near fair with a tight spread and no clear edge; recent momentum favors Boston but not enough to justify chasing after the rally.
Note
edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Price jumped to 0.44 from 0.41 · Dodgers still favored in orderbook · Tight 1-cent spread
Boston Red Sox bullish ↑ Edge
+3% Confidence
60%
Red Sox price has moved up quickly, but orderbook still leaves Dodgers favored and the market already reflects much of the recent shift. Small contrarian value only if the move overshoots.
