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Prediction history

Market #3155130

8/4/2026, 00:00:35 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 70¢

Price has rallied sharply and liquidity is good, but the market already reflects most of the move. No clear mispricing at 0.70.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Cardinals up 0.33 to 0.38 over recent windows · Tight 1-cent spread · High liquidity and volume
St. Louis Cardinals bullish ↑ Edge +2% Confidence 57%

Cardinals are at 0.70 after a strong move up, but the order book is tight and current price is already near the recent upper range. Only a small positive edge remains versus market-implied fair value.