Athletics → -2% 8/5/2026, 00:03:20
Price has run hard into 0.75 with no obvious mispricing; momentum favors Athletics but the current quote appears near fair value.
Unified market view
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Hold: Efficient price
Hold
Model edge Athletics → -2%
Confidence 63%
Price at model run 75¢ Model run: 8/5/2026, 00:03:20
Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/5/2026, 01:38:45
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Price has run hard into 0.75 with no obvious mispricing; momentum favors Athletics but the current quote appears near fair value.
Watch triggers
- 1h and 6h rally already priced in
- Best bid/ask near tight spread
- No strong liquidity dislocation
Why not now
Price has run hard into 0.75 with no obvious mispricing; momentum favors Athletics but the current quote appears near fair value.
Revisit when
1h and 6h rally already priced in · Best bid/ask near tight spread · No strong liquidity dislocation
Execution guard
Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity $0. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 8/5/2026, 01:38:45
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
0.1¢Volume (24h) ?
$844,568Liquidity ?
$0Open interest ?
—Spread ?
—Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
-99.9%Volatility ?
13.7%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Athletics
No orderbook data yet.
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/5/2026, 01:11:10 7.5¢
8/5/2026, 01:13:09 7¢
8/5/2026, 01:15:10 13¢
8/5/2026, 01:17:10 10.5¢
8/5/2026, 01:19:10 0.05¢
8/5/2026, 01:21:10 0.05¢
8/5/2026, 01:23:11 0.05¢
8/5/2026, 01:25:08 0.05¢
8/5/2026, 01:27:10 0.05¢
8/5/2026, 01:29:10 0.05¢
8/5/2026, 01:31:23 0.05¢
8/5/2026, 01:33:10 0.05¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.