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Unified market view

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Pittsburgh Pirates ↓ -2%
Confidence 61%
Price at model run 44¢ Model run: 8/5/2026, 00:01:01
Live best ask 26¢ Live update: 8/5/2026, 00:46:49
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Current Pirates price appears a bit overstated relative to the recent downward move and tight but balanced book.

Watch triggers
  • Pirates last trade 0.44 vs best ask 0.39
  • 1h trend down -0.02
  • Weekly price still below prior 0.50 peak
Why not now

Current Pirates price appears a bit overstated relative to the recent downward move and tight but balanced book.

Revisit when

Pirates last trade 0.44 vs best ask 0.39 · 1h trend down -0.02 · Weekly price still below prior 0.50 peak

Execution guard

Price 26¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $14,099. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/5/2026, 00:46:49

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

26¢

Volume (24h) ?

$452,717

Liquidity ?

$14,099

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

20.2%

Momentum ?

-42.4%

Volatility ?

4.9%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Pittsburgh Pirates

Bids

15¢ 549.99
14¢ 47,309.3
13¢ 14,961.23
12¢ 7,939
11¢ 45

Asks

16¢ 10,170
17¢ 25,979.91
18¢ 8,693
19¢ 2,180
20¢ 10

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/5/2026, 00:22:08 55.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:24:10 40.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:26:10 41.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:28:10 43.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:30:11 43¢
8/5/2026, 00:32:08 39¢
8/5/2026, 00:34:24 37.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:36:11 23.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:38:11 23.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:40:12 25.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:42:11 21.5¢
8/5/2026, 00:43:10 24.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Pittsburgh Pirates ↓ -2% 8/5/2026, 00:01:01

Current Pirates price appears a bit overstated relative to the recent downward move and tight but balanced book.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.