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Unified market view

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Model direction

No directional position

Data gap
Execution state
No data
Model edge No model view
Confidence —
Price at model run — Model run: —
Live best ask 80¢ Live update: 9/28/2026, 13:07:23
Conservative Kelly reference — Unavailable · matching snapshot or live orderbook data is missing
Model —

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Why not now

No fresh model output is available for this market yet.

Revisit when

Wait for a fresh model run and complete market data before using this market for a decision.

Execution guard

Price 80¢ · spread 2 pts · liquidity $114,230. Treat the model view as research and verify it against the live market tape.

Summary

Updated at 9/28/2026, 13:07:23

Uses price momentum and volatility over 6h, together with current order-book depth, spread and liquidity. This is not an AI probability forecast and may differ from the model view.

Price & order-book rules

Watch

Best ask ?

80¢

Volume (24h) ?

$178,135

Liquidity ?

$114,230

Open interest ?

$313,005

Spread ?

2¢

Depth imbalance ?

-31.2%

Momentum ?

17.0%

Volatility ?

0.7%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • No directional setup under these rules

Rule notes

  • Price momentum and order-book depth do not jointly meet the directional thresholds.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

78¢ 651
77¢ 109.99
76¢ 5,215.12
75¢ 5,228.37
74¢ 3,858.67

Asks

80¢ 5,463.93
81¢ 5,747.92
82¢ 3,865
83¢ 9,889
84¢ 3,785

Price history

Interval: 6h

9/28/2026, 12:43:10 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 12:45:14 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 12:47:14 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 12:49:26 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 12:51:14 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 12:53:29 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 12:55:15 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 12:57:10 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 12:59:14 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 13:01:28 75.5¢
9/28/2026, 13:03:25 77¢
9/28/2026, 13:04:13 79¢

Prediction history

Full history

No prediction history yet.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · No 9/28/2026, 09:33:44
$8,859 74.51¢
Sell · No 9/28/2026, 09:33:44
$12,583 27.96¢
Buy · Yes 9/28/2026, 09:28:08
$69,997 70¢