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Prediction history

Market #3254014

8/3/2026, 18:00:57 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 67¢

Price is already near fair value and the spread is tight, so there is no clear edge to buy or sell.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers bestAsk 0.67 vs last 0.67 · No strong trend in 1h/6h history · 24h move only +0.02
Yulia Putintseva bullish ↑ Edge +1% Confidence 55%

Market is efficient and tightly priced at 0.67 with no visible mispricing; slight support from recent 24h uptick and bid-ask depth favoring Putintseva.

8/3/2026, 12:01:07 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 67¢

Current price appears slightly above fair value, so fading the favorite has a modest edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Last trade 0.67 above best bid/ask mid · 1d/6h trend stable near 0.665 · Ask depth exceeds bid depth on Yulia side
Yulia Putintseva bearish ↓ Edge -3% Confidence 64%

Price at 0.67 looks a bit rich versus a roughly mid-0.64s fair line from the recent drift and orderbook; ask-side depth is heavier, limiting upside.