Unified market view

Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Matteo Berrettini → -2%

Confidence 68%

Price at model run 69¢ Model run: 8/3/2026, 18:01:36

Live best ask 69¢ Live update: 8/3/2026, 18:43:39

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Berrettini is fairly priced near 0.69 with only a small negative edge and no strong liquidity or catalyst signal.

Watch triggers

Market price near fair value
Recent rise already reflected
Moderate spread and balanced depth

Why not now

Berrettini is fairly priced near 0.69 with only a small negative edge and no strong liquidity or catalyst signal.

Revisit when

Market price near fair value · Recent rise already reflected · Moderate spread and balanced depth

Execution guard

Price 69¢ · spread 3 pts · liquidity $132,803. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/3/2026, 18:43:39

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

69¢

Volume (24h) ?

$148,791

Liquidity ?

$132,803

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

3¢

Depth imbalance ?

92.8%

Momentum ?

5.5%

Volatility ?

0.9%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

No strong edge detected

Rule notes

No single rule is strong enough to signal buy/sell.

Orderbook

Outcome Matteo Berrettini

Bids

66¢ 10

65¢ 570.56

64¢ 1,163.4

63¢ 60,077.7

62¢ 3,203

Asks

69¢ 151

70¢ 204.1

71¢ 615.9

72¢ 876.2

73¢ 596.29

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/3/2026, 18:19:09 68.5¢

8/3/2026, 18:21:10 68¢

8/3/2026, 18:23:09 68¢

8/3/2026, 18:25:06 68¢

8/3/2026, 18:27:06 68¢

8/3/2026, 18:29:09 68¢

8/3/2026, 18:31:09 66.5¢

8/3/2026, 18:33:08 67.5¢

8/3/2026, 18:35:06 68.5¢

8/3/2026, 18:37:10 67.5¢

8/3/2026, 18:39:09 67¢

8/3/2026, 18:40:19 67¢

Prediction history

Full history

Matteo Berrettini → -2% 8/3/2026, 18:01:36

Berrettini is fairly priced near 0.69 with only a small negative edge and no strong liquidity or catalyst signal.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.