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Prediction history

Market #3254068

8/3/2026, 18:01:30 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 24¢

Price has drifted down and the book is heavily tilted toward Borges, but the current 24% ask does not offer an obvious mispricing for Kovacevic.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers 1h and 1d price trend down · Heavy ask depth on Kovacevic · Wide support for Borges in order book
Aleksandar Kovacevic neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 72%

Market at 0.24 implies about 24% win chance, and order flow/history show continued pressure against Kovacevic. No clear value edge versus current price.

8/3/2026, 12:00:22 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 26¢

Price is near fair value with weak edge and balanced liquidity; no strong mispricing to exploit at current levels.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Bid-ask spread is tight · Orderbook tilts toward Borges · Kovacevic price has been flat intraday
Aleksandar Kovacevic bearish ↓ Edge -2% Confidence 62%

Market prices Kovacevic around 26%, but orderbook and recent drift favor Borges; Kovacevic has mild bid support yet no convincing catalyst for a higher win rate.

8/3/2026, 06:00:33 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 26¢

No clear edge versus the current ask; recent price action still favors Borges, while Kovacevic is only marginally underpriced at best.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Kovacevic price fell 9 pts in 24h · Order book favors Borges heavily · Tight 3c spread limits edge
Aleksandar Kovacevic bullish ↑ Edge +2% Confidence 61%

Current price 0.26 is slightly below the 0.23 bid/0.26 ask midpoint and recent drift has been against Kovacevic, but the move looks somewhat stretched given heavy liquidity and stable short-term pricing.

8/3/2026, 00:00:42 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 24¢

Kovacevic looks overpriced versus recent market action and book imbalance, so shorting or fading the current price has a modest edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers 1d price down 24% · 6h trend still lower · Ask depth outweighs bid depth
Aleksandar Kovacevic bearish ↓ Edge -4% Confidence 72%

Current price implies about 24% for Kovacevic, but the orderbook and recent trend favor Borges; Kovacevic has been drifting down across 6h/1d and ask pressure is heavy.

8/2/2026, 18:00:36 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 29¢

Kovacevic looks slightly overpriced versus recent momentum and book imbalance, so fading the current price has a small edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers 1d price down 5pts · ask depth exceeds bid depth · book imbalance favors Borges
Aleksandar Kovacevic bearish ↓ Edge -3% Confidence 69%

Price has drifted down from 0.33 to 0.29 with continued sell pressure; orderbook favors Borges and market implies Kovacevic is only a modest underdog.