Signal Hold Horizon
Medium-term Current price
16.3¢
Modest positive edge on Yes with supportive depth and momentum, but the threshold is high and the move is still far from guaranteed.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Yes bid depth dominates ask depth · 1h and 1d trend remain up · spread is tight and liquidity is solid
Yes bullish ↑ Edge
+5% Confidence
58%
Yes is priced near 0.16, but orderbook and recent tape show persistent bid support, tight spread, and strong upward momentum in Yes probability. That suggests a modestly higher true probability than market implies, though the target still requires a major BTC breakout.