Signal Hold Horizon
To expiry Current price
45.6¢
Current price is roughly fair for a low-probability touch event, with no clear mispricing and mixed short-term momentum versus long-run odds.
Note edge/置信度不足，规则判定观望
Triggers Yes bid/ask is tight near 0.456 · Recent Yes trend is down on 1h/6h · Liquidity is decent but not extreme edge
Yes bearish ↓ Edge
-5% Confidence
63%
Yes trades near 0.456 but the threshold is an extreme new ATH-style print for August; recent 1h/6h orderbook and history show Yes weakening from 0.43-0.57 with selling pressure, implying only a modest chance of a touch before expiry.