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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold
Model edge Jessica Pegula ↓ -3%
Confidence 70%
Price at model run 81¢ Model run: 8/3/2026, 12:00:16
Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/3/2026, 17:46:45
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Pegula appears slightly overpriced versus a modestly lower fair value; momentum is extended and liquidity supports fading the current ask.

Watch triggers
  • 1d and 1w price already up sharply
  • 1h and 6h trend flat
  • Top ask depth exceeds bid depth
Why not now

Pegula appears slightly overpriced versus a modestly lower fair value; momentum is extended and liquidity supports fading the current ask.

Revisit when

1d and 1w price already up sharply · 1h and 6h trend flat · Top ask depth exceeds bid depth

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/3/2026, 17:46:45

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,475,286

Liquidity ?

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

12.1%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Jessica Pegula

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/3/2026, 17:07:24 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:09:10 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:11:23 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:13:08 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:15:08 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:17:10 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:19:13 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:21:08 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:23:10 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:25:10 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:27:10 0.05¢
8/3/2026, 17:29:10 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history
Jessica Pegula ↓ -3% 8/3/2026, 12:00:16

Pegula appears slightly overpriced versus a modestly lower fair value; momentum is extended and liquidity supports fading the current ask.

Jessica Pegula ↑ +1% 8/3/2026, 06:00:11

Price is near the top of the recent range and current pricing already reflects strong Pegula favoritism; no clear mispricing remains.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.