Unified market view

Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold

Model edge Yanaki Milev ↑ +3%

Confidence 62%

Price at model run 52¢ Model run: 8/3/2026, 18:00:23

Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/3/2026, 18:51:32

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Current price near 0.52 is close to a fair midpoint given the recent surge and still-uncertain match fundamentals. Orderbook support favors Yanaki, but the edge looks modest and spread/liquidity do...

Watch triggers

Yanaki bid depth exceeds asks
Recent sharp price rise already priced in
Spread is tight but edge is small

Why not now

Revisit when

Yanaki bid depth exceeds asks · Recent sharp price rise already priced in · Spread is tight but edge is small

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $0. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/3/2026, 18:51:32

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,398,193

Liquidity ?

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

325.3%

Volatility ?

9.2%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Yanaki Milev

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/3/2026, 18:20:09 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:22:11 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:24:11 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:26:08 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:28:10 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:30:13 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:32:11 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:34:11 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:36:08 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:38:12 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:40:22 99.95¢

8/3/2026, 18:42:10 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history

Yanaki Milev ↑ +3% 8/3/2026, 18:00:23

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Yanaki Milev 8/3/2026, 18:06:42

$107,253 78¢

Buy · Yanaki Milev 8/3/2026, 16:35:27

$79,644 35¢