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Unified market view

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Athletics ↑ +2%
Confidence 72%
Price at model run 97.4¢ Model run: 8/9/2026, 00:03:19
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/9/2026, 00:09:00
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Current price is extremely high and close to the ask, leaving little actionable edge despite bullish pressure. At this level, expected upside is minimal relative to reversal risk.

Watch triggers
  • Price already near 0.97-1.00
  • Very tight 0.002 spread
  • Recent sharp upward move
Why not now

Current price is extremely high and close to the ask, leaving little actionable edge despite bullish pressure. At this level, expected upside is minimal relative to reversal risk.

Revisit when

Price already near 0.97-1.00 · Very tight 0.002 spread · Recent sharp upward move

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/9/2026, 00:09:00

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$931,645

Liquidity ?

Open interest ?

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

238.8%

Volatility ?

18.2%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Athletics

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/8/2026, 22:57:11 99.8¢
8/8/2026, 22:59:10 96.65¢
8/8/2026, 23:01:10 92.6¢
8/8/2026, 23:03:10 99.95¢
8/8/2026, 23:05:08 99.95¢
8/8/2026, 23:07:11 99.95¢
8/8/2026, 23:09:10 99.95¢
8/8/2026, 23:11:15 99.95¢
8/8/2026, 23:13:22 99.95¢
8/8/2026, 23:15:23 99.95¢
8/8/2026, 23:17:10 99.95¢
8/8/2026, 23:19:10 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history
Athletics ↑ +2% 8/9/2026, 00:03:19

Current price is extremely high and close to the ask, leaving little actionable edge despite bullish pressure. At this level, expected upside is minimal relative to reversal risk.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Over 8/8/2026, 22:56:22
$5,985 89.86¢
Buy · Boston Red Sox 8/8/2026, 20:29:51
$89,999 90¢
Buy · Under 8/8/2026, 20:09:16
$82,418 65¢