Unified market view

National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldi

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Fabian Marozsan ↑ +1%

Confidence 58%

Price at model run 9¢ Model run: 8/6/2026, 00:01:02

Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/6/2026, 01:01:57

Model gpt-5.4-mini

No clear value edge at 0.09; recent bearish repricing may already be incorporated and liquidity is deep enough to discourage chasing.

Watch triggers

Sharp 1h/24h selloff already priced in
Small bid-ask spread but no strong mispricing
Order book not strongly one-sided

Why not now

No clear value edge at 0.09; recent bearish repricing may already be incorporated and liquidity is deep enough to discourage chasing.

Revisit when

Sharp 1h/24h selloff already priced in · Small bid-ask spread but no strong mispricing · Order book not strongly one-sided

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/6/2026, 01:01:57

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$568,752

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

—

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

16.3%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Fabian Marozsan

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/6/2026, 00:14:07 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:16:25 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:18:09 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:20:07 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:22:07 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:24:09 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:26:10 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:28:09 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:30:07 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:32:07 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:34:09 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:36:09 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history

Fabian Marozsan ↑ +1% 8/6/2026, 00:01:02

No clear value edge at 0.09; recent bearish repricing may already be incorporated and liquidity is deep enough to discourage chasing.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Matteo Arnaldi 8/5/2026, 23:54:42

$16,900 93¢

Buy · Matteo Arnaldi 8/5/2026, 23:53:20

$8,500 90¢