Unified market view

National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Jacob Fearnley ↓ -2%

Confidence 62%

Price at model run 31.8¢ Model run: 8/6/2026, 00:03:42

Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/6/2026, 01:56:56

Model gpt-5.4-mini

No clear positive edge on Fearnley at current price; momentum and book both point to Mensik, but the move has already been large and spread is small, so avoid chasing.

Watch triggers

Jacob price above my estimate
Mensik book depth is much stronger
Recent sharp price swing already priced in

Why not now

No clear positive edge on Fearnley at current price; momentum and book both point to Mensik, but the move has already been large and spread is small, so avoid chasing.

Revisit when

Jacob price above my estimate · Mensik book depth is much stronger · Recent sharp price swing already priced in

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/6/2026, 01:56:56

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$575,688

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

—

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

-99.8%

Volatility ?

19.9%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Jacob Fearnley

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/6/2026, 00:27:10 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:29:10 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:31:10 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:33:11 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:35:08 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:37:08 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:39:10 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:41:10 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:43:11 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:45:08 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:47:10 0.05¢

8/6/2026, 00:49:10 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history

Jacob Fearnley ↓ -2% 8/6/2026, 00:03:42

No clear positive edge on Fearnley at current price; momentum and book both point to Mensik, but the move has already been large and spread is small, so avoid chasing.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Jakub Mensik 8/6/2026, 00:13:24

$6,000 92.84¢