Unified market view

National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Rafael Jodar → 0%

Confidence 62%

Price at model run 60¢ Model run: 8/7/2026, 00:03:14

Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/7/2026, 02:23:10

Model gpt-5.4-mini

No reliable edge at the current price; the market has moved sharply but liquidity is ample and the latest quote sits between recent trade and book levels.

Watch triggers

Current price near 0.60
Mixed book vs trade levels
Recent sharp volatility

Why not now

No reliable edge at the current price; the market has moved sharply but liquidity is ample and the latest quote sits between recent trade and book levels.

Revisit when

Current price near 0.60 · Mixed book vs trade levels · Recent sharp volatility

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/7/2026, 02:23:10

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$639,376

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

83.4%

Volatility ?

5.8%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Rafael Jodar

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/7/2026, 00:53:11 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 00:55:11 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 00:57:10 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 00:59:11 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 01:01:12 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 01:03:10 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 01:05:10 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 01:07:10 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 01:09:10 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 01:11:10 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 01:13:10 99.95¢

8/7/2026, 01:15:10 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history

Rafael Jodar → 0% 8/7/2026, 00:03:14

No reliable edge at the current price; the market has moved sharply but liquidity is ample and the latest quote sits between recent trade and book levels.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.