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Prediction history

Market #3379483

8/13/2026, 18:05:26 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 1¢

Price is at the floor and recent momentum remains decisively bearish for Orioles, so the current price still looks rich relative to model probability.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask at 0.001 · 1d price collapsed -0.4845 · 1w price collapsed -0.4945
Baltimore Orioles bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 99%

Market and recent history imply Orioles are priced near zero with strong drift against them; no visible orderbook support or positive catalyst.

8/13/2026, 12:04:23 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 1¢

Current Orioles price is already extremely low and the move has been decisively against them; no clear mispricing or liquidity edge to buy.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Orioles last trade 0.01 · 1d change -0.4945 · 1w trend sharply down
Baltimore Orioles bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 93%

Price implies near-zero Orioles win probability; recent move and history strongly favor Twins, leaving no positive edge on Orioles.

8/13/2026, 06:04:21 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 1¢

Price is already near zero and the market has sharply repriced against Baltimore, leaving no clear actionable edge at current levels.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Baltimore at 0.01 · Sharp 1d/24h selloff · No bid support
Baltimore Orioles bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 88%

Market price at 0.01 implies a tiny Orioles chance, but recent move and orderbook indicate near-total de-risking toward Minnesota; no positive mispricing edge for Baltimore.

8/13/2026, 00:03:16 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 1¢

Current price already implies an extreme Orioles longshot and the recent move is overwhelmingly bearish; with no usable bid and minimal ask liquidity, there is no clear edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers lastTradePrice at 0.01 · 1h and 24h price momentum sharply down · bestAsk only 0.001
Baltimore Orioles bearish ↓ Edge -1% Confidence 93%

Price has collapsed to 0.001 with strong recent momentum against Baltimore; no orderbook support or positive edge is visible.