Unified market view

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold

Model edge Pittsburgh Pirates ↓ -4%

Confidence 71%

Price at model run 50¢ Model run: 8/13/2026, 18:02:57

Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/13/2026, 19:43:40

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Current Pirates price around 0.50 looks rich versus the recent drift and orderbook, with no strong sign of reversal.

Watch triggers

Pirates down 4-6c intraday
Marlins price trending up
Pirates best ask only 0.43 in history

Why not now

Current Pirates price around 0.50 looks rich versus the recent drift and orderbook, with no strong sign of reversal.

Revisit when

Pirates down 4-6c intraday · Marlins price trending up · Pirates best ask only 0.43 in history

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $457,039. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/13/2026, 19:43:40

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$291,440

Liquidity ?

$457,039

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

90.4%

Volatility ?

3.3%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Pittsburgh Pirates

Bids

99.9¢ 317,397

99.7¢ 40.12

99.5¢ 40.2

99.3¢ 40.28

99.1¢ 967.19

Asks

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/13/2026, 19:18:12 99.85¢

8/13/2026, 19:20:21 99.85¢

8/13/2026, 19:22:12 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:24:12 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:26:12 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:28:13 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:30:10 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:32:09 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:34:11 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:36:08 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:38:12 99.95¢

8/13/2026, 19:39:12 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history

Pittsburgh Pirates ↓ -4% 8/13/2026, 18:02:57

Current Pirates price around 0.50 looks rich versus the recent drift and orderbook, with no strong sign of reversal.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.