Back

Prediction history

Market #3431696

8/11/2026, 00:03:33 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon To expiry Current price 99.9¢

No clear edge at 0.999/1.000; the move has largely exhausted upside and the contract is already priced as a near-lock.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask at 1.0 caps upside · Last trade already 0.999 · Sharp recent repricing leaves little edge
Maxim Mrva neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 55%

Price is already pinned near 1.0 with a wide one-sided move, leaving no actionable edge; current market implies near-certain win and liquidity is too late-stage to justify a fresh directional view.