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Unified market view

Hamburg: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Cezar Cretu ↓ -3%
Confidence 78%
Price at model run 2.9¢ Model run: 8/10/2026, 18:03:28
Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/10/2026, 18:05:58
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Cretu remains overpriced relative to the observed drift and orderbook, with no visible bid support and a strong one-way move against him.

Watch triggers
  • 6h/1d/1w price collapse
  • best ask only 0.001
  • no bid depth
Why not now

Cretu remains overpriced relative to the observed drift and orderbook, with no visible bid support and a strong one-way move against him.

Revisit when

6h/1d/1w price collapse · best ask only 0.001 · no bid depth

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/10/2026, 18:05:58

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$601,547

Liquidity ?

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

35.2%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Cezar Cretu

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/10/2026, 16:11:10 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:13:10 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:15:10 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:17:10 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:19:10 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:21:13 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:23:11 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:25:11 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:27:10 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:29:10 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:31:10 0.05¢
8/10/2026, 16:33:11 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history
Cezar Cretu ↓ -3% 8/10/2026, 18:03:28

Cretu remains overpriced relative to the observed drift and orderbook, with no visible bid support and a strong one-way move against him.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.