Unified market view

National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Belinda Bencic ↓ -2%

Confidence 58%

Price at model run 49¢ Model run: 8/12/2026, 00:01:12

Live best ask 50¢ Live update: 8/12/2026, 01:07:05

Model gpt-5.4-mini

The price is tight and liquid, but the edge is small and the market has already largely corrected toward 50/50. No strong mispricing to buy or sell at current levels.

Watch triggers

Bencic only slightly supported vs current price
Orderbook tilts toward Gauff
Recent move already priced in

Why not now

The price is tight and liquid, but the edge is small and the market has already largely corrected toward 50/50. No strong mispricing to buy or sell at current levels.

Revisit when

Bencic only slightly supported vs current price · Orderbook tilts toward Gauff · Recent move already priced in

Execution guard

Price 50¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/12/2026, 01:07:05

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

50¢

Volume (24h) ?

$449,793

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

25.3%

Volatility ?

3.7%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Belinda Bencic

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/11/2026, 23:53:11 49.5¢

8/11/2026, 23:55:12 49.5¢

8/11/2026, 23:57:08 49.5¢

8/11/2026, 23:59:23 49.5¢

8/12/2026, 00:01:11 49.5¢

8/12/2026, 00:03:10 49.5¢

8/12/2026, 00:05:08 49.5¢

8/12/2026, 00:07:08 49.5¢

8/12/2026, 00:09:11 49.5¢

8/12/2026, 00:11:11 49.5¢

8/12/2026, 00:13:11 49.5¢

8/12/2026, 00:15:08 49.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Belinda Bencic ↓ -2% 8/12/2026, 00:01:12

The price is tight and liquid, but the edge is small and the market has already largely corrected toward 50/50. No strong mispricing to buy or sell at current levels.

Related whale flow

All trades

Sell · Coco Gauff 8/11/2026, 23:24:31

$6,885 50¢