Unified market view

Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Share to X Follow alerts Open on Polymarket

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold

Model edge Marcos Giron ↓ -7%

Confidence 71%

Price at model run 42¢ Model run: 8/13/2026, 00:00:59

Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/13/2026, 01:59:44

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Giron has weak recent price action and the best ask is above the current trade, implying continued downside pressure rather than value at 0.42.

Watch triggers

1h price down 38%
24h price down 25%
orderbook asks outweigh bids

Why not now

Giron has weak recent price action and the best ask is above the current trade, implying continued downside pressure rather than value at 0.42.

Revisit when

1h price down 38% · 24h price down 25% · orderbook asks outweigh bids

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/13/2026, 01:59:44

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$296,159

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

—

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

16.8%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Marcos Giron

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/13/2026, 00:39:12 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:41:24 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:43:10 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:45:11 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:47:12 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:49:11 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:51:08 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:53:11 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:55:12 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:57:11 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 00:59:11 0.05¢

8/13/2026, 01:01:24 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history

Marcos Giron ↓ -7% 8/13/2026, 00:00:59

Giron has weak recent price action and the best ask is above the current trade, implying continued downside pressure rather than value at 0.42.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.