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Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Alexander Shevchenko ↑ 0%
Confidence 56%
Price at model run 99.9¢ Model run: 8/11/2026, 18:00:44
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/11/2026, 19:07:48
Model gpt-5.4-mini

No meaningful edge remains at 0.999 pricing; upside is negligible and execution risk is high versus the tiny spread.

Watch triggers
  • Price near 1.0
  • Edge effectively zero
  • Strong market consensus already reflected
Why not now

No meaningful edge remains at 0.999 pricing; upside is negligible and execution risk is high versus the tiny spread.

Revisit when

Price near 1.0 · Edge effectively zero · Strong market consensus already reflected

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/11/2026, 19:07:48

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$700,222

Liquidity ?

Open interest ?

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

94.1%

Volatility ?

3.4%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Alexander Shevchenko

Bids

Asks

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/11/2026, 17:46:12 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 17:48:21 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 17:50:10 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 17:52:12 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 17:54:12 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 17:56:12 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 17:58:12 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 18:00:13 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 18:02:11 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 18:04:11 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 18:06:09 99.95¢
8/11/2026, 18:08:11 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history
Alexander Shevchenko ↑ 0% 8/11/2026, 18:00:44

No meaningful edge remains at 0.999 pricing; upside is negligible and execution risk is high versus the tiny spread.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.