Back to intelligence

Unified market view

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold
Model edge Baltimore Orioles ↑ +2%
Confidence 59%
Price at model run 73¢ Model run: 8/18/2026, 00:00:20
Live best ask 71¢ Live update: 8/18/2026, 00:21:48
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Price has surged quickly and now sits near fair value; momentum is positive but the edge is too thin for a clean entry at current levels.

Watch triggers
  • 1h and 6h uptrend in Orioles price
  • Rays price has weakened sharply
  • Current ask is near 0.74
Why not now

Price has surged quickly and now sits near fair value; momentum is positive but the edge is too thin for a clean entry at current levels.

Revisit when

1h and 6h uptrend in Orioles price · Rays price has weakened sharply · Current ask is near 0.74

Execution guard

Price 71¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $69,360. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/18/2026, 00:21:48

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

71¢

Volume (24h) ?

$926,921

Liquidity ?

$69,360

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

19.4%

Momentum ?

50.6%

Volatility ?

10.2%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Momentum turning up
  • Bid depth outweighs asks
  • Spread within 2¢
  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
  • Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
  • Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.
  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Baltimore Orioles

Bids

28¢ 40,333.68
27¢ 44,736.29
26¢ 25,015.86
25¢ 4,000
24¢ 100

Asks

29¢ 55,222.32
30¢ 17,760.85
31¢ 2,870.12
32¢ 1,089.7
33¢ 100

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/17/2026, 23:57:10 73.5¢
8/17/2026, 23:59:13 77.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:01:12 80.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:03:12 80.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:05:12 80.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:07:13 82.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:09:13 79.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:11:09 77.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:13:09 77.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:15:14 69.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:17:12 58.5¢
8/18/2026, 00:18:12 59.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Baltimore Orioles ↑ +2% 8/18/2026, 00:00:20

Price has surged quickly and now sits near fair value; momentum is positive but the edge is too thin for a clean entry at current levels.

Related whale flow

All trades
Buy · Baltimore Orioles 8/17/2026, 22:03:12
$121,169 40¢