Unified market view

National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Ben Shelton

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold

Model edge Learner Tien ↓ -5%

Confidence 78%

Price at model run 35¢ Model run: 8/13/2026, 00:00:47

Live best ask 5.1¢ Live update: 8/13/2026, 01:59:44

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Tien looks overpriced versus momentum and book imbalance; current 0.35 appears above fair value.

Watch triggers

1w price downtrend
Top-of-book ask pressure
Shelton bid depth stronger

Why not now

Tien looks overpriced versus momentum and book imbalance; current 0.35 appears above fair value.

Revisit when

1w price downtrend · Top-of-book ask pressure · Shelton bid depth stronger

Execution guard

Price 5.1¢ · spread 1.8 pts · liquidity $343,979. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/13/2026, 01:59:44

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

5.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,371,159

Liquidity ?

$343,979

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.7¢

Depth imbalance ?

-87.8%

Momentum ?

-92.4%

Volatility ?

13.9%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Momentum turning down
Ask depth outweighs bids
Spread within 2¢
Volatility too high

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; negative means price falling.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; negative means asks dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.
High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Learner Tien

Bids

1.1¢ 113.63

1¢ 534

0.9¢ 11

0.3¢ 353.31

0.2¢ 530

Asks

1.8¢ 504.99

1.9¢ 22,237.43

2¢ 813.13

2.2¢ 155

2.3¢ 5

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/13/2026, 01:34:13 2.75¢

8/13/2026, 01:36:24 2.6¢

8/13/2026, 01:38:13 2.45¢

8/13/2026, 01:40:14 2.9¢

8/13/2026, 01:42:16 5¢

8/13/2026, 01:44:13 4.7¢

8/13/2026, 01:46:11 4.45¢

8/13/2026, 01:48:13 2.65¢

8/13/2026, 01:50:14 5.55¢

8/13/2026, 01:52:09 3.15¢

8/13/2026, 01:54:13 2.35¢

8/13/2026, 01:55:20 2.55¢

Prediction history

Full history

Learner Tien ↓ -5% 8/13/2026, 00:00:47

Tien looks overpriced versus momentum and book imbalance; current 0.35 appears above fair value.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Ben Shelton 8/13/2026, 00:34:33

$90,491 70.59¢

Buy · Ben Shelton 8/12/2026, 23:40:03

$66,000 66¢