Daniel Merida Aguilar ↑ +1% 8/15/2026, 00:00:22
Current price is extremely high with a tight spread, leaving little upside versus execution risk. The move is already reflected in price.
Unified market view
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Hold: Efficient price
Hold
Model edge Daniel Merida Aguilar ↑ +1%
Confidence 74%
Price at model run 98.6¢ Model run: 8/15/2026, 00:00:22
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/15/2026, 00:47:33
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Current price is extremely high with a tight spread, leaving little upside versus execution risk. The move is already reflected in price.
Watch triggers
- Price near 0.99
- Strong bid depth
- Recent sharp rally
Why not now
Current price is extremely high with a tight spread, leaving little upside versus execution risk. The move is already reflected in price.
Revisit when
Price near 0.99 · Strong bid depth · Recent sharp rally
Execution guard
Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $0. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 8/15/2026, 00:47:33
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
100¢Volume (24h) ?
$377,483Liquidity ?
$0Open interest ?
—Spread ?
0.1¢Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
-6.5%Volatility ?
6.4%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Daniel Merida Aguilar
No orderbook data yet.
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/15/2026, 00:11:08 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:13:12 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:15:09 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:17:08 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:19:11 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:21:13 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:23:13 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:25:12 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:27:12 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:29:12 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:31:11 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 00:33:12 50¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.