Unified market view

Cincinnati Open: Tomas Machac vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Action: Sell

Sell

Model edge Tomas Machac ↓ -15%

Confidence 88%

Price at model run 22¢ Model run: 8/14/2026, 18:02:35

Live best ask 0.1¢ Live update: 8/14/2026, 20:02:55

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Machac appears overpriced relative to recent flow and orderbook, with persistent downward momentum in his price and strong support on the opponent side.

Watch triggers

Machac price fell from 0.48 to 0.10 intraday
Best bid/ask near 0.07/0.08
Opponent side dominates orderbook and price trend

Action basis

Machac appears overpriced relative to recent flow and orderbook, with persistent downward momentum in his price and strong support on the opponent side.

Invalidation watch

Machac price fell from 0.48 to 0.10 intraday · Best bid/ask near 0.07/0.08 · Opponent side dominates orderbook and price trend

Execution guard

Price 0.1¢ · spread — · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/14/2026, 20:02:55

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

0.1¢

Volume (24h) ?

$1,151,373

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

—

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

-99.9%

Volatility ?

30.0%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Tomas Machac

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/14/2026, 18:41:13 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:43:12 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:45:10 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:47:12 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:49:12 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:51:13 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:53:12 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:55:27 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:57:24 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 18:59:13 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 19:01:31 0.05¢

8/14/2026, 19:03:16 0.05¢

Prediction history

Full history

Tomas Machac ↓ -15% 8/14/2026, 18:02:35

Machac appears overpriced relative to recent flow and orderbook, with persistent downward momentum in his price and strong support on the opponent side.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Pablo Carreno Busta 8/14/2026, 17:18:21

$69,289 55¢

Buy · Pablo Carreno Busta 8/14/2026, 17:12:21

$76,147 54¢