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Prediction history

Market #3538942

8/19/2026, 00:02:42 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 15¢

Spread is tight but the price has already moved sharply lower on Arizona; no clear mispricing versus the current market after the selloff.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers 1h price dropped 0.24 · Arizona last trade near bid · No strong reversal signal
Arizona Diamondbacks bearish ↓ Edge -3% Confidence 67%

Current price implies a very low Arizona win rate, but the orderbook/history show the market recently crushed Arizona from ~0.50 to 0.15 with strong momentum against them. That usually leaves little positive edge unless new info appears.