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Prediction history

Market #3564234

8/20/2026, 00:00:57 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 62¢

Price has moved up quickly into a crowded range, while orderbook imbalance and recent volatility do not justify chasing at 0.62.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers 1h and 6h price surge · Top ask still nearby · Only modest bid imbalance
Athletics bearish ↓ Edge -6% Confidence 63%

Athletics are priced at 0.62, but recent drift looks overextended after a sharp run-up; orderbook is only mildly supportive and the market has likely already incorporated the move.