Back

Prediction history

Market #3573154

8/15/2026, 00:02:47 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon To expiry Current price 99.9¢

Current price is at the ceiling and liquidity/spread conditions offer no attractive entry; expected value is essentially neutral.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best ask at 1.0 · Best bid at 0.999 · No meaningful discount to model
Xinyu Wang bullish ↑ Edge 0% Confidence 51%

Price is already pinned near 1.0 with a sub-tick spread, leaving almost no measurable edge. Recent drift favors Wang, but the market is effectively fully priced.