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Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold
Model edge Shuai Zhang ↑ +7%
Confidence 60%
Price at model run 54¢ Model run: 8/15/2026, 18:00:35
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/15/2026, 18:47:56
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Modest positive edge with supportive orderbook and momentum; upside appears slightly underpriced at current mid.

Watch triggers
  • Bid depth heavily outweighs asks
  • Recent price trend up
  • Low spread vs liquidity
Why not now

Modest positive edge with supportive orderbook and momentum; upside appears slightly underpriced at current mid.

Revisit when

Bid depth heavily outweighs asks · Recent price trend up · Low spread vs liquidity

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $378,534. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/15/2026, 18:47:56

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$301,253

Liquidity ?

$378,534

Open interest ?

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

110.4%

Volatility ?

7.7%

Trend slope ?

0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Shuai Zhang

Bids

99.9¢ 257,962.86
99.1¢ 391
99¢ 45,415.2
98.4¢ 33
98.1¢ 12

Asks

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/15/2026, 18:25:13 60.5¢
8/15/2026, 18:27:09 83.5¢
8/15/2026, 18:29:13 88.5¢
8/15/2026, 18:31:12 94.5¢
8/15/2026, 18:33:12 97.35¢
8/15/2026, 18:35:13 97.95¢
8/15/2026, 18:37:12 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 18:39:28 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 18:41:13 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 18:43:29 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 18:45:14 99.95¢
8/15/2026, 18:46:12 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history
Shuai Zhang ↑ +7% 8/15/2026, 18:00:35

Modest positive edge with supportive orderbook and momentum; upside appears slightly underpriced at current mid.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.