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Prediction history

Market #3574075

8/15/2026, 18:00:23 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 35¢

Tight spread and balanced depth, but recent price swings are noisy and do not create a clear edge at current levels.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Best bid/ask is tight · Orderbook depth is balanced · Recent moves are volatile
Miomir Kecmanovic neutral → Edge 0% Confidence 58%

Current price implies about 35%; history and orderbook are mixed with no clear mispricing, so estimated fair value is near market.