Unified market view

Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Action: Sell

Sell

Model edge Tommy Paul ↓ -8%

Confidence 78%

Price at model run 69¢ Model run: 8/16/2026, 00:00:29

Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/16/2026, 00:57:04

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Current price appears above fair value after a sharp run-up, with short-term momentum already extended and limited incremental upside from orderbook pressure.

Watch triggers

last trade 0.69 vs estimated fair value below
1d move already large
elevated short-term volatility

Action basis

Current price appears above fair value after a sharp run-up, with short-term momentum already extended and limited incremental upside from orderbook pressure.

Invalidation watch

last trade 0.69 vs estimated fair value below · 1d move already large · elevated short-term volatility

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/16/2026, 00:57:04

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$463,189

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

94.1%

Volatility ?

9.0%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Tommy Paul

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/16/2026, 00:11:12 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:13:12 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:15:10 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:17:14 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:19:13 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:21:12 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:23:12 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:25:13 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:27:12 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:29:12 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:31:12 99.95¢

8/16/2026, 00:33:12 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history

Tommy Paul ↓ -8% 8/16/2026, 00:00:29

Current price appears above fair value after a sharp run-up, with short-term momentum already extended and limited incremental upside from orderbook pressure.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.