Unified market view

Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejo

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Tommy Paul → 0%

Confidence 99%

Price at model run 99.9¢ Model run: 8/18/2026, 06:02:32

Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/18/2026, 06:57:04

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Market is effectively max-priced and liquid; expected value is negligible at the current quote.

Watch triggers

bestAsk at 1.00
bestBid at 0.999
No remaining upside

Why not now

Market is effectively max-priced and liquid; expected value is negligible at the current quote.

Revisit when

bestAsk at 1.00 · bestBid at 0.999 · No remaining upside

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/18/2026, 06:57:04

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$599,880

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

25.7%

Volatility ?

12.6%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Tommy Paul

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/18/2026, 05:07:12 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:09:13 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:11:12 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:13:12 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:15:13 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:17:09 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:19:12 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:21:12 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:23:11 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:25:12 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:27:09 99.95¢

8/18/2026, 05:29:12 99.95¢

Prediction history

Full history

Tommy Paul → 0% 8/18/2026, 06:02:32

Market is effectively max-priced and liquid; expected value is negligible at the current quote.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.