Unified market view

Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Brandon Nakashima ↑ +1%

Confidence 56%

Price at model run 44¢ Model run: 8/18/2026, 12:01:10

Live best ask 44¢ Live update: 8/18/2026, 12:58:07

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Mild value on Nakashima at 0.44 versus a fair estimate just above current price, but the edge is thin and should be treated as a small tactical buy.

Watch triggers

Best bid 0.43 under last 0.44
Top-of-book bid depth exceeds ask depth
1h price flat after prior drop

Why not now

Mild value on Nakashima at 0.44 versus a fair estimate just above current price, but the edge is thin and should be treated as a small tactical buy.

Revisit when

Best bid 0.43 under last 0.44 · Top-of-book bid depth exceeds ask depth · 1h price flat after prior drop

Execution guard

Price 44¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $230,647. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/18/2026, 12:58:07

Signal

Buy

Best ask ?

44¢

Volume (24h) ?

$229,160

Liquidity ?

$230,647

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

1¢

Depth imbalance ?

35.8%

Momentum ?

2.4%

Volatility ?

0.3%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Momentum turning up
Bid depth outweighs asks
Spread within 2¢

Rule notes

Momentum = price change over the selected interval; positive means price rising.
Depth imbalance compares total bid size vs ask size; positive means bids dominate.
Spread is best ask minus best bid; smaller is easier to enter/exit.

Orderbook

Outcome Brandon Nakashima

Bids

43¢ 45,370.8

42¢ 48,971.23

41¢ 23,101.08

40¢ 4,485

39¢ 3,015.04

Asks

44¢ 514.72

45¢ 34,187.73

46¢ 8,183.87

47¢ 8,877.94

48¢ 7,358

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/18/2026, 12:36:14 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:38:13 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:40:15 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:42:10 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:44:13 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:46:10 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:48:14 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:50:16 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:52:16 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:54:14 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:56:14 43.5¢

8/18/2026, 12:57:22 43.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Brandon Nakashima ↑ +1% 8/18/2026, 12:01:10

Mild value on Nakashima at 0.44 versus a fair estimate just above current price, but the edge is thin and should be treated as a small tactical buy.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.