Jaime Faria ↑ 0% 8/19/2026, 00:02:55
No actionable edge at 0.999; the contract is effectively fully priced despite strong recent move.
Unified market view
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Hold: Efficient price
Hold
Model edge Jaime Faria ↑ 0%
Confidence 55%
Price at model run 99.9¢ Model run: 8/19/2026, 00:02:55
Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/19/2026, 00:30:29
Model gpt-5.4-mini
No actionable edge at 0.999; the contract is effectively fully priced despite strong recent move.
Watch triggers
- Best ask at 1.0
- Current price 0.999
- Minimal remaining upside
Why not now
No actionable edge at 0.999; the contract is effectively fully priced despite strong recent move.
Revisit when
Best ask at 1.0 · Current price 0.999 · Minimal remaining upside
Execution guard
Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 8/19/2026, 00:30:29
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
100¢Volume (24h) ?
$1,445,555Liquidity ?
—Open interest ?
—Spread ?
0.1¢Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
76.9%Volatility ?
19.0%Trend slope ?
0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Jaime Faria
No orderbook data yet.
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/18/2026, 23:30:19 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:32:09 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:34:13 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:36:10 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:38:13 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:40:10 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:42:13 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:44:13 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:46:13 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:48:12 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:50:10 99.95¢
8/18/2026, 23:52:27 99.95¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.