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Prediction history

Market #3696484

8/25/2026, 00:00:29 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 80¢

Recent price momentum is strong, but current price appears a bit rich relative to orderbook and the move has already repriced most of the edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers 1h price up 6% · 6h price up 25% · ask depth above bid depth near top of book
Tampa Bay Rays bearish ↓ Edge -3% Confidence 61%

Rays are priced at 0.80 after a sharp run-up, but orderbook asks now exceed bids and the move looks stretched versus prior 6h/1d levels. I estimate fair value slightly below market, implying limited upside at current price.