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Unified market view

Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Watch trigger

Hold
Model edge Nuno Borges ↓ -3%
Confidence 70%
Price at model run 25¢ Model run: 8/20/2026, 00:00:40
Live best ask 10¢ Live update: 8/20/2026, 00:57:28
Model gpt-5.4-mini

Borges looks slightly overpriced only if you believe the recent drop is overdone, but the book and trend still favor Nakashima. Edge is too small to act.

Watch triggers
  • Borges price down hard in 24h
  • Orderbook favors Nakashima
  • Tight spread but no strong misprice
Why not now

Borges looks slightly overpriced only if you believe the recent drop is overdone, but the book and trend still favor Nakashima. Edge is too small to act.

Revisit when

Borges price down hard in 24h · Orderbook favors Nakashima · Tight spread but no strong misprice

Execution guard

Price 10¢ · spread 1 pts · liquidity $341,671. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/20/2026, 00:57:28

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

10¢

Volume (24h) ?

$813,408

Liquidity ?

$341,671

Open interest ?

Spread ?

Depth imbalance ?

Momentum ?

-98.8%

Volatility ?

23.4%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

  • Volatility too high

Rule notes

  • High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Nuno Borges

Bids

Asks

0.2¢ 27.77
0.9¢ 222.22
29,852.4
2.1¢ 5,164
2.2¢ 300

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/20/2026, 00:36:10 10.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:38:13 17.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:40:14 7.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:42:12 7.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:44:12 7.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:46:11 8.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:48:12 6.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:50:14 4.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:52:12 5.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:54:14 4.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:56:12 1.5¢
8/20/2026, 00:57:09 0.5¢

Prediction history

Full history
Nuno Borges ↓ -3% 8/20/2026, 00:00:40

Borges looks slightly overpriced only if you believe the recent drop is overdone, but the book and trend still favor Nakashima. Edge is too small to act.

Related whale flow

All trades

No related large trades in the current 24h cache.