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Prediction history

Market #3731794

8/21/2026, 00:03:41 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 0.1¢

No clear tradable edge at the current price and liquidity/price discovery are effectively one-sided at the floor.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Amanda price collapsed to floor · Pegula price near certainty · No meaningful bid depth
Amanda Anisimova bearish ↓ Edge -3% Confidence 98%

Market price is pinned near 0.001 with no actionable bid/ask depth; history shows a dramatic collapse in Amanda pricing and corresponding Pegula dominance, so no positive edge on Amanda.

8/20/2026, 18:00:17 gpt-5.4-mini
Signal Hold Horizon Short-term Current price 67¢

Anisimova remains slightly favored, but the current price looks close to fair after a strong move, so there is no clear buyable edge.

Note edge/置信度不足,规则判定观望

Triggers Anisimova bid depth > ask depth · Pegula price fell sharply intraday · Current price already near recent highs
Amanda Anisimova bullish ↑ Edge +3% Confidence 58%

Price has run up to 0.67, but orderbook and recent drift still favor Anisimova modestly; depth is healthier on her bid side and Pegula has been sold down sharply. Edge is small because the market has already moved a lot.