Unified market view

Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Iga Swiatek ↑ 0%

Confidence 99%

Price at model run 99.9¢ Model run: 8/21/2026, 00:00:16

Live best ask 100¢ Live update: 8/21/2026, 01:57:00

Model gpt-5.4-mini

No meaningful edge remains at 0.999 price; expected upside is essentially capped and risk-reward is poor despite strong favoritism.

Watch triggers

Price at 0.9995
Extremely one-sided orderbook
No actionable discount left

Why not now

No meaningful edge remains at 0.999 price; expected upside is essentially capped and risk-reward is poor despite strong favoritism.

Revisit when

Price at 0.9995 · Extremely one-sided orderbook · No actionable discount left

Execution guard

Price 100¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity —. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/21/2026, 01:57:00

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

100¢

Volume (24h) ?

$5,325,210

Liquidity ?

—

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

—

Momentum ?

-13.7%

Volatility ?

4.4%

Trend slope ?

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Iga Swiatek

No orderbook data yet.

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/21/2026, 01:12:20 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:14:15 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:16:11 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:18:11 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:20:12 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:22:11 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:24:14 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:26:11 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:28:14 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:30:12 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:32:28 99.95¢

8/21/2026, 01:34:14 50.5¢

Prediction history

Full history

Iga Swiatek ↑ 0% 8/21/2026, 00:00:16

No meaningful edge remains at 0.999 price; expected upside is essentially capped and risk-reward is poor despite strong favoritism.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · Iga Swiatek 8/20/2026, 23:21:57

$61,305 82¢

Buy · Iga Swiatek 8/20/2026, 23:19:13

$71,082 77.23¢

Buy · Elena Rybakina 8/20/2026, 23:17:21

$66,000 33¢

Buy · Elena Rybakina 8/20/2026, 23:17:12

$66,000 32.61¢