Lorenzo Musetti ↓ -7% 8/22/2026, 00:00:25
Musetti looks overpriced versus the recent move and book balance; Tiafoe momentum is stronger.
Unified market view
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.
Research boundary
This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.
Decision state
Watch trigger
Hold
Model edge Lorenzo Musetti ↓ -7%
Confidence 74%
Price at model run 42¢ Model run: 8/22/2026, 00:00:25
Live best ask 2.9¢ Live update: 8/22/2026, 01:30:52
Model gpt-5.4-mini
Musetti looks overpriced versus the recent move and book balance; Tiafoe momentum is stronger.
Watch triggers
- Musetti fell from 0.515 to 0.415 on 1d
- 1h and 6h slope both negative
- Tiafoe price rose to 0.535
Why not now
Musetti looks overpriced versus the recent move and book balance; Tiafoe momentum is stronger.
Revisit when
Musetti fell from 0.515 to 0.415 on 1d · 1h and 6h slope both negative · Tiafoe price rose to 0.535
Execution guard
Price 2.9¢ · spread 0.9 pts · liquidity $390,501. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.
Summary
Updated at 8/22/2026, 01:30:52
Signal
HoldBest ask ?
2.9¢Volume (24h) ?
$880,309Liquidity ?
$390,501Open interest ?
—Spread ?
0.9¢Depth imbalance ?
—Momentum ?
-99.9%Volatility ?
50.9%Trend slope ?
-0Reasons
- Volatility too high
Rule notes
- High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.
Orderbook
Outcome Lorenzo Musetti
Bids
Asks
0.1¢ 263,317.65
0.4¢ 13
0.9¢ 377
1¢ 51,370.93
2¢ 94
Price history
Interval: 6h
8/22/2026, 01:06:11 3.5¢
8/22/2026, 01:08:18 4.95¢
8/22/2026, 01:10:11 5.75¢
8/22/2026, 01:12:16 2.5¢
8/22/2026, 01:14:14 18.65¢
8/22/2026, 01:16:11 32.3¢
8/22/2026, 01:18:14 23.65¢
8/22/2026, 01:20:11 5.2¢
8/22/2026, 01:22:15 5.15¢
8/22/2026, 01:24:14 0.4¢
8/22/2026, 01:26:10 0.05¢
8/22/2026, 01:27:16 0.05¢
Prediction history
Full historyRelated whale flow
All tradesNo related large trades in the current 24h cache.