Unified market view

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?

Model view, orderbook, price history, and related whale flow in one place.

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Research boundary

This is market intelligence, not financial advice. Verify rules, liquidity, price, and your own risk before trading.

Decision state

Hold: Efficient price

Hold

Model edge Yes ↑ +1%

Confidence 58%

Price at model run 12.3¢ Model run: 8/25/2026, 06:01:03

Live best ask 10.8¢ Live update: 8/25/2026, 07:57:47

Model gpt-5.4-mini

Momentum favors Yes, but the current price looks close to fair given the small spread and only mild book imbalance. No strong mispricing signal.

Watch triggers

1h and 6h Yes price uptrend
slight bid-side depth advantage
current price already low

Why not now

Momentum favors Yes, but the current price looks close to fair given the small spread and only mild book imbalance. No strong mispricing signal.

Revisit when

1h and 6h Yes price uptrend · slight bid-side depth advantage · current price already low

Execution guard

Price 10.8¢ · spread 0.1 pts · liquidity $59,414. Do not act unless model view and market tape agree.

Summary

Updated at 8/25/2026, 07:57:47

Signal

Hold

Best ask ?

10.8¢

Volume (24h) ?

$171,041

Liquidity ?

$59,414

Open interest ?

—

Spread ?

0.1¢

Depth imbalance ?

7.8%

Momentum ?

32.7%

Volatility ?

3.5%

Trend slope ?

-0

Reasons

Volatility too high

Rule notes

High volatility downgrades signals to avoid noise.

Orderbook

Outcome Yes

Bids

10.7¢ 18,816.47

10.2¢ 530

10.1¢ 19

8.1¢ 540

8¢ 55

Asks

10.8¢ 14,215.87

10.9¢ 2,000

11.6¢ 530

11.7¢ 275

11.9¢ 50

Price history

Interval: 6h

8/25/2026, 07:35:09 11.65¢

8/25/2026, 07:37:08 11.7¢

8/25/2026, 07:39:13 11.4¢

8/25/2026, 07:41:27 11.45¢

8/25/2026, 07:43:26 11.45¢

8/25/2026, 07:45:23 11.45¢

8/25/2026, 07:47:12 11.45¢

8/25/2026, 07:49:12 11.45¢

8/25/2026, 07:51:12 11.05¢

8/25/2026, 07:53:12 10.75¢

8/25/2026, 07:55:13 10.75¢

8/25/2026, 07:56:12 10.75¢

Prediction history

Full history

Yes ↑ +1% 8/25/2026, 06:01:03

Momentum favors Yes, but the current price looks close to fair given the small spread and only mild book imbalance. No strong mispricing signal.

Related whale flow

All trades

Buy · No 8/24/2026, 17:43:36

$8,489 93.25¢